Sugar Company Stock Certificate

I hardly ever talk about the portfolios I manage (the last time was when I added Campbell Soup to the blue chip reserve portfolio in Some Changes In the Portfolio), mostly because investment ideas are rare.  Still, I write about it to the same extent I would be willing to discuss something over coffee with fellow investors so here are some thoughts about what has been going on at Kennon Green Enterprises lately.

The shares of the sugar refiner I had one of my businesses buy only 3 months ago are already up 15.40%, giving a fantastic annualized return.  I’m thinking about selling them but need to go back through the financial statements one more time before I make a decision.

What I really want for Christmas is for General Electric to break $20 per share because if that happens, Joshua Kennon, my friends, is going to break out the champagne.  We started buying it at $6 at the height of the recession and it is already up to $15 to $16 but I have a substantial block of call options through one of my retirement plans that expire in January using a strategy that is not appropriate for anyone reading this.  At this point, every $1 change in share price means a massive gain in our position value. (more…)

How to Find Investment Ideas

Wal-Mart Stores Stock Certificate

Every time you shop at a company, see their products selling well, or hear good things about a firm, it is an opportunity to research a potential investment idea. It doesn't mean you should actually buy shares, but it might just be a great place to start your search. Think of all the investors that found Wal-Mart Stores, Nike, Dollar General, Microsoft, Home Depot, Walt Disney, or Coca-Cola long before they had appreciated 10,000% or more (but were known in virtually all American households).

Years ago, I wrote an article called Finding Investment Ideas for Your Portfolio for About.com, a division of The New York Times.  I’ve been thinking for the past few days about how it is that I seem to come across so many opportunities and then I realized that most people like me are always looking whereas the average American isn’t.

By that, I mean that every time I walk into a business, without exception, the first thought that occurs to me as I look around is, “I wonder if this company is publicly traded.”  If it looks promising, I add it to a mental list and during my regular research periods each week, I pull all of the information I can about the company, or the corporate parent, and begin attempting to value it conservatively. It only takes a few, or even one, great investment in a lifetime to be financially independent.

If my friends and family could actually hear my thoughts, it would be amusing.  As we walk through the aisles of Wal-Mart, I am thinking to myself, “Wal-Mart has a net profit margin of 3.3%.  So, if I buy this $49.95 video game, the stockholders, who are the owners, are going to generate after-tax profit of $1.65 on the sale.  With a dividend payout ratio of roughly 30%, $0.50 of that will be distributed as a cash dividend and the remaining $1.15 will go toward expansion or stock buybacks.  With 3,810,171,967 shares of stock outstanding, each share of the company is entitled to $0.000000000433051 of the profit.” Sometimes, I actually pull out a calculator to compute figures as I stroll besides the shopping cart.

It’s almost like a game of chess, or solving a puzzle where the pieces are constantly moving and half of the box is missing.  I love the game.  Particularly, I like that if I’m right, I make money for the people about whom I care, so they can buy nicer clothes, pay off their debt, take vacations, or send their kids to music lessons.  That matters to me far more than the idea of owning a Net Jet.  It provides me with a real sense of satisfaction.  Most people can’t say they actually make a difference in people’s lives.  I can.

Yet, this idea of looking for such opportunities never occurs to most people.  Here’s an example from my own family …

Ed’s Sporting Goods: An Example In My Own Family

Members of my extended family owned a business called Ed’s Sporting Goods that at one time was the largest sporting goods retailer and team dealer in Northwest Missouri.  Now, it was a successful business – far more successful than the average entrepreneur and something about which the owners are, and rightfully should be, proud. (more…)

This, ladies and gentlemen, is why I am rich. It’s a thing of beauty – just sit back, and watch. Ha!!! Now that the deal is closed, I can talk about it.

Scrooge McDuck Having Fun in the Money Bin - Carl Barks

Scrooge McDuck by Carl Barks

You may have noticed, as Ellary emailed me a day or two ago, that we’ve been missing in action. Recently, some odd situations have developed in various markets throughout the world, some as a result of the credit crisis on Wall Street and some just because the inevitable nature of the world is that five-plus sigma events (”black swans”) occasionally manifest. This has happened in the animation world of late, especially in the works of a few key illustrators. I’ve been working with several auction representatives, including the person who headed the comic and animation division at Sotheby’s for decades, to build a collection as part of the e-commerce group’s investment portfolio. Money was reallocated from equities (actually, it was all fresh capital from operations so that’s not entirely accurate but I digress …) (more…)

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