February 8, 2012

Free Trade Isn’t Always Fair Trade

Free Trade and Fair Trade Global Policies

A few days ago, I wrote a five-part essay called How to Solve the Trade Deficit in response to a reader question about trade policy in the United States. The reader, Adam, responded on his blog.  Here is my followup to his commentary. I Would Love to Run Trade Surpluses But It Isn't Going to Happen If the United States were to run trade surpluses, as opposed to going trade neutral, we would be accused of mercantilism (rightly).  This would immediately cause our trade partners around … [Read more...]

American Manufacturing Profits Are the Same After Inflation As In 1960

Profit by Industry in the United States of America

The manufacturing sector in the United States generates the same inflation-adjusted profits it did in 1960.  Surprised?  Consider this: In 1960, the United States manufacturing sector generated total profits of $23.8 billion. In 2008, the United States manufacturing sector generated total profits of $175.5 billion. If we adjust for inflation, 2008 profits from manufacturing should have been $171.17 billion, so we are actually ahead of the game a bit.  The problem is, at the same … [Read more...]

How to Solve the Trade Deficit – A Five-Part Essay on the American Trade Imbalance

How to Solve the Trade Deficit in the United States of America

When American citizens buy more foreign goods (import) than we sell to foreigners (exports), we have to transfer part of our national wealth to foreigners.  The amount we have to transfer to foreigners is called the trade deficit. Think of it like a big, international credit card.  When we buy more from the world than we sell it, the world takes our dollar bills and has to invest them.  That means they are earning interest, dividends and rents and, over time, own an ever-expanding piece of … [Read more...]

How to Solve the Trade Deficit – Part V

Money Doesn't Actually Exist

There were a few questions that went beyond the scope of the trade deficit in the question Adam sent me, so I decided to wrap them up here, in a final article. If you want, you can read How to Solve the Trade Deficit Part I, Part II, Part III, and Part IV. You asked, "What starts the initial flow of money in an economy?" As I wrote a few days ago, money doesn't actually exist.  It is an idea - a concept we use as humans to describe an exchange mechanism to trade one thing we have for … [Read more...]

How to Solve the Trade Deficit – Part IV

I Want My Country Back

This is part of my special on How to Solve the Trade Deficit. You can read Part I, Part II, or Part III if you missed them. The Increased Competition for Jobs Is Domestic, As Well You mention that standards of living have fallen, despite gains in things like iPods with 25,000 songs and the ability to connect instantly through the Internet.  The thing is: In many respects, it isn't true - standards of living haven't fallen - unless you fit one specific demographic, which we'll talk about in a … [Read more...]

How to Solve the Trade Deficit – Part III

Knowledge Worker

This is Part III of my special on How to Solve the Trade Deficit.  If you missed the earlier parts, you can read Part I or Part II first. How to Solve the Trade Deficit - Knowledge Workers vs. Manual Workers In many ways, your question about the trade deficit has very little to do with global trade policies and everything to do with the rise of the "knowledge worker" class that Peter Drucker predicted in 1959. Drucker, the management guru who is to executives what Warren Buffett is to … [Read more...]

How to Solve the Trade Deficit – Part II

Supporting our manufacturing base is important to stop the trade deficit

This is the second part of my essay on How to Solve the Trade Deficit. You should start with Part I if you haven't already read it. How to Solve the Trade Deficit - The Medium Answer My personal preference for solving the remaining minority of the trade deficit after solving the imported petroleum and oil problem includes rebuilding the manufacturing base.  Part of this is a national security consideration.  By ensuring we have enough production capability within our borders, we would be … [Read more...]

How to Solve the Trade Deficit – Part I

The Products the Come from a Barrel of Crude Oil and Petroleum Based Resources

I received a question from a reader named Adam, who asked about the threat the United States trade deficit poses to our long-term financial health. It was an excellent, intelligent, well-articulated question that happened to arrive at the precise moment I was in the mood to talk about such an issue. The result is a five-part essay called How to Solve the Trade Deficit that explains what the trade deficit is, why the trade deficit threatens our safety, and why the loss of manufacturing jobs, … [Read more...]

Sugar Prices Hit 30 Year Highs

Imperial Sugar

I spent the evening reading through the annual report and SEC filings of Imperial Sugar on the iPad listening to the river outside with the windows open. (That would be an article in and of itself - the company had a huge explosion in 2008 at one of its sugar refineries, killing several employees and injuring dozens more.  The insurance proceeds have been paid and they rebuilt a state-of-the-art facility that is just now gearing up for full production.  Yet, they are off hedge accounting, … [Read more...]

Mexican Coca-Cola vs. American Coke

Mexican Coca-Cola with Real Sugar Cane

Other than gourmet coffee, my favorite beverage in the world is an ice cold glass of Coca-Cola.  Of course, not only is the product great, but my love for business causes me to appreciate the nectar of the gods in far more ways than the average person could appreciate.  When I look at a bottle of Coke, I see the company going public in 1919 at $40 per share before crashing to $19 per share.  I also see that today, with dividends reinvested, a single share of Coca-Cola has grown into more … [Read more...]