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Daily Archives: August 12, 2012

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Intrade Fair Bet

Calculating the Intrinsic Value of a Fair Bet

MathematicsBy Joshua KennonAugust 12, 2012Leave a comment

The intrinsic value of a fair bet is one in which the cost of the bet is identical to the expected after-tax, net cash payoff.  For example, if you had a lottery ticket that promised a 7% chance to win $100, a fair bet would be $7.00.  If you could buy the bet for significantly…

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