Secret Weapon Strategy

One of the most useful business strategies, and life strategies, I know has to do with stealth projects, stealth accomplishments, and stealth resources.  The strategy can be useful for games, in your own company, or in your own family.  Showing you how it works might be the easiest way to explain it.

Last night, Aaron and I had a work session going over the details of a re-platforming project one of the e-commerce businesses is undertaking prior to a summer rollout.  By the time we were done at 2:45 a.m., we figured, “Why not just stay up all night?” and began a two-player competitive game of Civilization V over the network.  I played as Darius I of Persia, he as Empress Wu Zetian of China.  

Neither of us is aggressive or violent by nature.  We would much rather be building stock exchanges, opera houses, and universities than military units. I created a thriving national economy that was churning out 673 gold per turn during my much-extended Golden Ages, balancing the need for funding and expanding my network of 19 cities.  Up until the final two turns, my visible army consisted of a band of Immortals and a few other groups left over from my scouting activities at the beginning of the game.  

Secret Weapon Strategy

Often, the best strategy is to have weapons, resources, and connections that your opponents don't even realize exist. This keeps them complacent and staves off the natural competitive edge. When, and if, necessity dictates, you can reach into your arsenal and unleash whatever it is that will achieve your end objectives.

The thing is, even though I would have never attacked my neighbor, preferring instead to build prosperous, free-trade enterprises between us, I needed options.  I quickly monopolized most of the game’s natural wonders and resources such as aluminum, coal, oil, and uranium, then developed social policies that allowed me to extract twice as many natural resources from each tile worked.

[mainbodyad]Instead of starting an arms race, I kept my mouth shut.  I began rapidly developing an enormous cache of weapons that were not visible on the map, and could go unnoticed.  Stealth bombers, fighter jets, and the like were the main source of military might.  Then, for the final security of my people, I developed nuclear missiles, basing them in cities with clear, close, and lethal lines of sight to Aaron’s capital and other major cities. 

Once my position was virtually unassailable, and I knew we were going to end the game, I quickly developed an army of Death Robots that could march on his capital following the aftermath of the nuclear holocaust.  The entire time his citizens were planting their gardens, harvesting their silver, thrashing their wheat, and building roads, they had no idea that there were nuclear missiles trained on them.  Had he attacked even one of my cities, his civilization would have been annihilated.

You May Not Want to Let People Know You Are Playing the Game

No matter how strong his economy, nor how productive his cities, the biggest advantage I had was the existence of an extraordinary military, while appearing to have none at all.  It made him feel safe, secure, and complacent.  

The lesson: Sometimes, the best thing you can do is keep your mouth shut.  Maybe you own an business in a tiny niche that will never be particularly large but it gives you 80% margins.  My advice: Keep your mouth shut.  Don’t invite competition.  Perhaps you have a strategy for buying distressed real estate in your local town.  Again: Keep your mouth shut.  Maybe you are working on a new product idea that will revolutionize a particular industry.  You know what I’m going to say.  Keep your mouth shut.  

Have a dream but find yourself surrounded by friends and family who aren’t supportive?  Keep your mouth shut.  Work on it silently; secretly.  Then, when everything has been successful, unleash it.  

Stealth Wealth and Assets

When you are assured of victory, and it is advantageous to do so, you can throw off the cloak and move quickly.

 

Not Everyone Will React Well to Stealth Strategies

From time to time, you will run into a friend or family member who is emotionally devastated by this approach.  Perhaps they feel betrayed.  Maybe they feel left out of your life.  From their perspective, yesterday you both lived in the poor part of town and today they found out you just bought a huge, beautiful house in the best neighborhood the city.  Yesterday, you appeared to be struggling in the cubicle next to them, today they find out that you own most of the apartment buildings within a twenty mile radius.  Yesterday, you were like them.  Today, you are not.  

[mainbodyad]This situation happens millions of times every year among women when one of the formerly fat girls becomes a thin-girl.  The same psychological forces are at play.  Don’t be angry when they feel this way.  A good percentage of the population has low self-esteem.  They have a fundamental fear of being left out, being unloved, or being left behind.  You cannot sacrifice your own happiness at the alter of their personal shortcomings.  That doesn’t mean you be cruel, it just means that your life, and the choices you make, are none of their business.  You must do what is best for you.

It isn’t hard to understand the popularity of stealth wealth.  It makes perfect sense why 80 out of 100 millionaires in the the United States hide financial success so that not even parents, children, siblings, or friends realize the extent of the prosperity.  How can people ask you for money if they don’t know you have $8,000,000 in blue chip stocks and real estate?  How can people say you work too much when they don’t realize you spend your nights doing a double shift to put yourself through college?  How can people demand you give them reduced rent when they don’t realize you own the apartment building?  Not everyone needs to know everything about your life.  You need to have some things reserved for only you and your spouse. 

How Would You React?  Examining How You Really Feel About People

There is another lesson here.  Be honest.  If you found out that your best friend had secretly developed a website that now made him or her millions of dollars a year, and the cash had been building in municipal bonds to the point they were extremely rich, how would you feel?  If you found out your sister secretly won the lottery ten years ago, how would you feel?  If you have even a tiny amount of envy or unhappiness about it – if you feel anything other than unadulterated joy at their accomplishment – that is a significant personality flaw.  You need to fix it immediately.

Footnote: There is an interesting counter-strategy that also works in some situations, which involves making grand displays.  Imagine you are the richest guy in town and you own all of the hotels, the banks, the newspaper, and the car washes.  Someone comes along and buys a plot of land on which they are going to develop a hotel.  This will compete with your existing hotels.  Your solution is to buy the property across the street and put up an enormous, “Coming Soon!” sign with architectural sketches of a competing hotel.  You get the business permits.  You hire people to start developing the groundwork.  If the other party is rational, they realize you have the resources and will to refuse to cede any competitive ground to them.  They can open their hotel, but the glut of rooms relative to demand you are about to create will make their returns on capital so low it will be miserable and they might even have trouble serving their debt.  The trick is to protect against Pyrrhic victories.

This same approach was the core of the Cold War policy of Mutually Assured Destruction, or M.A.D.  Both the United States and Soviet Union wouldn’t fire upon each other because they knew the other had the resources to obliterate both civilizations.  

Reader Comments (6)

Comments are presented chronologically, with replies indented beneath the comments to which they respond.

Ian Francis

May 4, 2012

This is exactly how I try to run my life. Maybe its the introvert in me, or maybe I'm just lazy and would prefer to not have to work very hard to be successful, but I have found this to be a very successful strategy. I really don't see the point in making the competition aware of what I'm doing or that I'm doing anything at all. They can think I'm sitting around all day doing nothing.

On a side note, that is THE way to play Civ V. Take all the resources and let the others struggle. And of course send out your spaceship then see if you can annihilate the other civilizations before it gets to Alpha Centauri. It's a challenge within a challenge.

Jacek Janiszewski

May 5, 2012

That kind of personality flaw can't be outright fixed. It comes from the feeling of inferiority and disatisfaction at one's achievements. When one's achievements or success have met one's internal standards the envy goes away.

Reading your blog sometimes upsets me - I agree with what you write though at some level I wish I didn't.

Guest

May 6, 2012

I think stealth is a good strategy if you're directly competing against someone, but I believe in the saying "A candle loses nothing by lighting another candle"  for everything else. If you withhold knowledge that could give people a better life and wouldn't harm you in any way then I don't think that's very nice at all.

Ian Francis

May 7, 2012

Replying to Guest

I would agree, though some people define competition differently.  If we are talking about aquiring and using scarce resources, then almost every company is in competition in some way or another.  But if you are talking about two companies that sell a similar product in the same market, then those are certainly in competition.
 
In my professional world (the nuclear power industry), the mindset many many years ago had been that as producers of electricity, all generation facilities are in competition in one way or another with each other.  If your plant does better than another regional one, the more likely your company is to buy out the other plant's company.  This led to lack of communication about possible equipment, maintenance, or operational problems one plant would have, and you would often see the same problem crop up in similar facilities.  The worst result of this was Three Mile Island, where an equipment issue that had occured without incident at another plant recurred at TMI and caused the worst nuclear accident in US history.  The mindset today is that while power companies may compete, plants are not in competition with each other and as such all plants share any problems they encounter so that another plant won't have the same problem.  This policy was implemented for the safety aspect, but has resulted in an industry that went from a capacity factor (percentage of time the plant is operating) of 60-65% in the 1970s to one that is steadily over 90% today.  Because of this sharing of information, the nuclear industry has really kept itself alive even against increasing regulation and competition from other energy sources by making the industry as a whole more efficient.
 
So I would say that in a perfect world, the stealth strategy is more detrimental than beneficial.  However, due to human nature, the usual result of knowledge sharing is that one party will out-muscle the other and leave only one victor.  Only in very specific, controlled, situations does that actually work in the real world.

Guest

May 6, 2012

Maybe you could please elaborate on what you said about feeling unhappy about someone else's secret wealth being a personality flaw. I'll assume that you interpret this as being bitter for someone else's success. My take is that the resentment will come from other things. A lack of trust in the relationship. Yes, we hide things from our enemies. If you hide things from me, does that mean I'm a competitor/enemy? Does it mean you don't trust me? It will make people paranoid. If they've ever shared wealth strategies with you, were you secretly judging them all along, thinking what an idiot they are? My drift is basically that the bitterness will come from questioning the relationship, one's character, one's trustworthiness, etc. rather than being jealous of one's wealth. Most of us are happy to see good people succeed, but if you've broken someone's trust, you're probably in the 'bad' category.

Donna Bayley Lovett

February 5, 2018

When I lost my fat, all the negative nasty comments were from females in my place of work. Jealous much? Yup, because they lacked the discipline to exercise, and drink 8 glasses of water all day. I hadn't been on a diet at all, just started the treadmill, and Jane Fonda's toning and shaping video. Transformed my life, I lost 42 pounds in 6 months. Anyhow, regarding stealth wealth, I don't have a problem with people acquiring secret money, what makes it feel upsetting is when years later you realize a friend used to moan about how much things cost, and they were broke, living paycheque to paycheque, they actually had money all along, but just said those things to make me feel equal to them. That's what makes it feel like betrayal, because it's lying. Don't fake being a poor person if you secretly have money. Just don't say ANYTHING! You don't have to change or lie to fit in. If friends act jealous because you have money and they don't - ditch them. I had someone say to me after I had just come back from a vacation, "it must be nice" in a very snarky tone. I turned around and said, "yes, it was very nice, thank you. And walked away. What I didn't say was I worked hard and saved every penny for that vacation, not eating out for the last 6 months or going to any movies or spending money on clothes in order to save for it. There is no point in wasting effort justifying your vacation (or anything else for that matter) to a jealous person.